
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD oscillates around $1,810 on volatile DXY, focus is on Fed minutes
- USD/INR takes the bids to refresh intraday high, snaps two-day downtrend.
- Progress on US-China trade ties, firmer yields underpin cautious optimism in Asia.
- Anxiety ahead of the key data/events joins fears of aggressive central banks, recession to weigh on market sentiment.
- Pullback in oil prices fails to please INR bulls amid fears of economic slowdown.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is testing the upside break of the consolidation formed in a narrow range of $1,806.60-1,809.89 in the early Tokyo session. On a broader note, the precious metal has turned sideways after a firmer rebound from Friday’s low at $1,784.55.
The gold prices are likely to remain on the tenterhooks ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes on Wednesday. The detailed viewpoint from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers on the economic indicators of the US economy especially on the inflation rate and growth projections will support the market participants to adjust their positions on associated assets. Also, investors will be able to scrutiny the further direction of the yellow metal and US dollar index (DXY) in a more informed manner.
Meanwhile, the DXY is holding itself above the psychological resistance of 105.00 comfortably. The DXY is expected to remain sideways till the European session as higher volatility at the open leads to a contraction in the same. This week, apart from the Fed minutes, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be of significant importance. As per the market consensus, the US economy added 270k jobs in June, lower than the prior release of 390k.
The gold prices are likely to remain on the tenterhooks ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes on Wednesday. The detailed viewpoint from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers on the economic indicators of the US economy especially on the inflation rate and growth projections will support the market participants to adjust their positions on associated assets. Also, investors will be able to scrutiny the further direction of the yellow metal and US dollar index (DXY) in a more informed manner.
Meanwhile, the DXY is holding itself above the psychological resistance of 105.00 comfortably. The DXY is expected to remain sideways till the European session as higher volatility at the open leads to a contraction in the same. This week, apart from the Fed minutes, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will be of significant importance. As per the market consensus, the US economy added 270k jobs in June, lower than the prior release of 390k.
Gold technical analysis
The gold prices are forming a Bullish Pennant chart pattern on an hourly scale that displays a consolidation phase, which is followed by a sheer upside move. The consolidation phase indicates an initiative buying structure in which those investors initiate longs, which prefer to enter after an establishment of the trend. The precious metal is auctioning above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,808.23, which indicates a bullish bias.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which signals the unavailability of any potential trigger as it will continue the consolidation process.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which signals the unavailability of any potential trigger as it will continue the consolidation process.
Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD
XAU/USD
OVERVIEW | |
---|---|
Today last price | 1809.73 |
Today Daily Change | 2.53 |
Today Daily Change % | 0.14 |
Today daily open | 1807.2 |
TRENDS | |
---|---|
Daily SMA20 | 1831.28 |
Daily SMA50 | 1845.67 |
Daily SMA100 | 1891.02 |
Daily SMA200 | 1845.74 |
LEVELS | |
---|---|
Previous Daily High | 1814.37 |
Previous Daily Low | 1804.05 |
Previous Weekly High | 1841.05 |
Previous Weekly Low | 1784.55 |
Previous Monthly High | 1879.26 |
Previous Monthly Low | 1802.79 |
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1807.99 |
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1810.43 |
Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1802.71 |
Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1798.22 |
Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1792.39 |
Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1813.03 |
Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1818.86 |
Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1823.35 |
(Reporting by AJFX Limited, Editing by Shivangi Jadav)
